1A small economic forecaster trained from raw Fed PDFs beat GPT-5 (opens in new tab)(blog.lightningrod.ai)5bturtel2mo ago0Save
2Show HN: Open-source LLM and dataset for sports forecasting (Pro Golf) (opens in new tab)(huggingface.co)7bturtel4mo ago0Save
3Show HN: Trained an LLM to predict "What will Trump do?" (opens in new tab)(huggingface.co)10bturtel4mo ago2Save
4What can't be automated? The Last Human Bottleneck (opens in new tab)(bturtel.substack.com)2bturtel4mo ago0Save
5Future-as-Label: Scalable Supervision from Real-World Outcomes (opens in new tab)(arxiv.org)arXiv17bturtel5mo ago0Save
6TMLR: Outcome-Based Reinforcement Learning to Predict the Future (opens in new tab)(openreview.net)4bturtel6mo ago1Save
7Natural Selection Is Already Shaping AI (opens in new tab)(bturtel.substack.com)2bturtel7mo ago0Save
9Foresight-32B Beats Frontier LLMs on Live Polymarket Predictions (opens in new tab)(blog.lightningrod.ai)6bturtel10mo ago0Save
11Outcome-Based Reinforcement Learning to Predict the Future (opens in new tab)(arxiv.org)arXiv99bturtel1y ago15Save
13Why humans are still much better than AI at forecasting the future (opens in new tab)(vox.com)5bturtel1y ago1Save
14LLMs can teach themselves to better predict the future (opens in new tab)(arxiv.org)arXiv176bturtel1y ago86Save
15Show HN: Sculptor – Python library for LLM structured data extraction (MIT) (opens in new tab)(github.com)GitHub9bturtel1y ago0Save
