1Show HN: Open-source LLM and dataset for sports forecasting (Pro Golf) (opens in new tab)(huggingface.co)7bturtel1mo ago0
2Show HN: Trained an LLM to predict "What will Trump do?" (opens in new tab)(huggingface.co)10bturtel1mo ago2
3What can't be automated? The Last Human Bottleneck (opens in new tab)(bturtel.substack.com)2bturtel1mo ago0
4Future-as-Label: Scalable Supervision from Real-World Outcomes (opens in new tab)(arxiv.org)17bturtel2mo ago0
5TMLR: Outcome-Based Reinforcement Learning to Predict the Future (opens in new tab)(openreview.net)4bturtel3mo ago1
8Foresight-32B Beats Frontier LLMs on Live Polymarket Predictions (opens in new tab)(blog.lightningrod.ai)6bturtel7mo ago0
10Outcome-Based Reinforcement Learning to Predict the Future (opens in new tab)(arxiv.org)99bturtel10mo ago15
12Why humans are still much better than AI at forecasting the future (opens in new tab)(vox.com)5bturtel10mo ago1
13LLMs can teach themselves to better predict the future (opens in new tab)(arxiv.org)176bturtel1y ago86
14Show HN: Sculptor – Python library for LLM structured data extraction (MIT) (opens in new tab)(github.com)9bturtel1y ago0
15Show HN: Pensive – AI mental health coaching backed by science (opens in new tab)(pensiveapp.com)8bturtel1y ago2
