The real question I have is 1) how close are we to human replacement AGI levels, and 2) even if we don't get full AGI, how much of a societal shakeup is going to occur with what we have.

We are already at the point of digital development that the argument of "We dont have AGI" is mostly meaningless. We need to have discussions at a societal and legal level on what we're going to do to prepare our lives for it occurring sooner than later to avoid catastrophic consequences.

For VR, many saw through the hype due to its inconveniences and minimal benefits. If VR had tapped into our nerves then things would’ve been different. No rational person expected this.

Wearables are the future, depending on if you have any medical issues or not. You misinterpreted the hype likely because you’re not seeing the medical applications.

Crypto replaced money and banks. Anybody with an idea of the function of money in a society also saw through this one.

AI is different. It aims to replace a human brain. 5 years ago if you told me a program could listen to me literally speak and then write code that not only compiles, but works, with non trivial requirements, Id have laughed at you. Yet here we are.