I'm not sure how it's gone from declining in Jan to super exponential in Mar/April?
There's not a lot of data yet on that variant's transmissibility and lethality but it has already been detected in the UK.
Thus far it doesn't seem to be as dangerous as the Brazilian P1 variant, but could be trouble just the same.
Speculation at this point to be honest.
Also when we say "Medical systems collapsing" then we should be specific. Because there are 700+ districts and there is a different story everywhere.
My father and mother went to the community clinic at a walking distance from my house and there was no queue at all. No wait. Now on 1st of May, it is my and my wife's turn.
- The majority of cases come from Maharshtra: 670388, UP:191457, Karnataka:133543, Chattisgargh:128019, Kerala:93683,Delhi:74941 (for a single city state these numbers are high) - which are non-election states. [Source]: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1103458/india- novel-coronavirus-covid-19-cases-by-state/
- Poor vaccination drive: Nothing can be father from the truth. India is one of the countries which has superb last mile vaccine delivery capability and connectivity till remote villages. Currently vaccination for 45+ age group is being rolled out successfully (with Covishield and Covaxin both). If anything there was lot of anti-vaxx created by media and politically vested interests which resulted in vaccine hesitancy. Now, the same voices are crying hoarse why we cannot vaccinate 1.3 billion people in a single month?