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0 pointsGavinMcG5y ago0 comments

The cure would likely be worse than the disease for you.

Are millions of people dying an acceptable trade-off for us to be able to date?

0 comments

There is a legitimate debate of: Cause an Economic Depression vs X times the number of yearly deaths.

Note, the Economic Depression would indirectly cause deaths.

For example everyone agreed that not shutting down the global economic was the correct decision in regards to the Swine Flu pandemic which did cause 100,000 or more deaths.

What if it was 1 million projected deaths, 10 million or 50 million?

I honestly do not know the answer but there are individuals who specializes in these decisions.

amylene5y ago

Deaths would also worsen an economic depression. Why does everybody forget about this?

Also, an economic depression reduces air pollution which would reduce deaths.

There are lots of factors that would need to be considered. Most people I’ve seen advocating this pov are stopping at the first order analysis.

leesalminen5y ago

> Also, an economic depression reduces air pollution which would reduce deaths.

In the immediate term, sure. In the medium term an economic depression would weaken investment, research & development in new green technologies which would increase deaths as the effects of climate change worsen.

1 more reply

SpicyLemonZest5y ago

Because most people who don't advocate the POV are stopping at the zeroth order analysis, saying that you're a heartless killer if you want to consider any factors instead of just saving lives.

2 more replies

brightball5y ago

Is it an acceptable trade off for you?

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-52002734

SpicyLemonZest5y ago

Hopefully we'll discover the tradeoff is less severe than that, but if not it's going to have to be. I don't think you realize just how unhappy people are with being locked down; it's very likely we would see violent rebellions against an attempt to impose a second one.

amylene5y ago

When you say, very likely, can you put a percent on it so we know if you mean 20% or 80%?

SpicyLemonZest5y ago

I mean 80%, although I have a bias here because I'd be one of the people trying to make it happen.

1 more reply

balola5y ago

Only through meaningful antibody mass tests can we decide the true scope of the spread, thus the real numbers of fatality rate.

Economies couldn't wait for the cure, and vaccines mostly likely won't last long.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse

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izend5y ago

There is a legitimate debate of: Cause an Economic Depression vs X times the number of yearly deaths.

Note, the Economic Depression would indirectly cause deaths.

For example everyone agreed that not shutting down the global economic was the correct decision in regards to the Swine Flu pandemic which did cause 100,000 or more deaths.

What if it was 1 million projected deaths, 10 million or 50 million?

I honestly do not know the answer but there are individuals who specializes in these decisions.

amylene5y ago

Deaths would also worsen an economic depression. Why does everybody forget about this?

Also, an economic depression reduces air pollution which would reduce deaths.

There are lots of factors that would need to be considered. Most people I’ve seen advocating this pov are stopping at the first order analysis.

leesalminen5y ago

> Also, an economic depression reduces air pollution which would reduce deaths.

1 more reply

SpicyLemonZest5y ago

Because most people who don't advocate the POV are stopping at the zeroth order analysis, saying that you're a heartless killer if you want to consider any factors instead of just saving lives.

2 more replies

brightball5y ago

Is it an acceptable trade off for you?

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-52002734

SpicyLemonZest5y ago

amylene5y ago

When you say, very likely, can you put a percent on it so we know if you mean 20% or 80%?

SpicyLemonZest5y ago

I mean 80%, although I have a bias here because I'd be one of the people trying to make it happen.

1 more reply

balola5y ago

Only through meaningful antibody mass tests can we decide the true scope of the spread, thus the real numbers of fatality rate.

Economies couldn't wait for the cure, and vaccines mostly likely won't last long.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse