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0 pointsHCIdivision1711y ago0 comments

Very much so. I would use it to time to the minute when to leave on my motorcycle to avoid rain, but it's less accurate a couple days out. But it seems it usually fails pessimistic, which is just what I want to be prepared. (And frankly, with a name like Dark Sky, it's just what I would expect!)

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learnstats211y ago· 1 in thread

I thought it was well-known that consumer weather forecasting is almost always pessimistic.

Forecasting sun when it rains generates complaints; the other way around, not so much.

Personally, I prefer it when they give percentages (which I assume are still pessimistic). The Met Office appears to forecast "rain" on a "30%" chance of precipitation.

HCIdivision17OP11y ago

Consider me one of the 10k learning that today :) It certainly makes sense to do so, but I had doubted it simply because of the many times people would argue with me about how "it wouldn't be that bad/cold/rainy". I assumed one should plan for the worst, but many liked to be reminded of bright days ahead.

YMMV and different strokes and all that.

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