Sort of. The catch is that even a very small write, say just a few megabytes, can drastically change the cost of an fsync(). On my test aws VM even writing just 4 megabytes one time is enough to trigger the problem. Even on an otherwise fully isolated system a few megs may be written from time to time, for example by a management agent like chef or puppet. Or by an application deploy copying out new binaries.

For example, here I reproduce the problem on a completely isolated machine: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8359556