EDIT: since Adredreseen Horrowitz invested, I assume it's likely not a repeat from Y2k, and I'm really interested in what they're doing differrently
In 2000 only 41% of all US households had internet access. Now it's 81%. This number also doesn't include internet in your pocket (74% of all Americans have some kind of mobile broadband).
The idea of "groceries on the internets" was never bad, it just tried to enter a market that didn't actually exist yet. They also tried to do too much, too quickly: i.e., launching into low population density markets that had zero chance of being cashflow even in the next 20 years. Notice that Fresh, Instacart, Google Shopping Express, and all these other perishable delivery companies are now strictly only in the densest urban areas where there is sufficient economy of scale to make the numbers work.
There are also some smaller contributors to success: people in general are much more willing to put their credit cards on the internet and buy things through the internet. People are able to access the internet while on the go. In the case of Amazon and Google they're leveraging a brand and existing user base that they've been building for years. The state of web tech also means the products are far less painful than before - keep in mind that 2000 was before AJAX, where every click of every button meant a completely new page load... over a connection that is likely dialup.
The game is very, very different from the way it was in 2000.
The negative Karma points were totally worth the responses. Wish there were some more with more specifics on said startup.
I'm waiting for "datahaven" to be a viable business, though. That would be really fun.
The difference is that they got their logistics and pricing down. The Y2K companies didn't.
I saw their product when it first launched but I didn't see a distinct advantage.
There is no way they will survive as a company long-term trying to compete against either of those two. It's a low-margin business with expensive, labor-intensive components that won't scale efficiently over time. They just need enough money to last long enough to convince Amazon or Google to buy them at a premium so that the investors make their 10x.
I think they will make a play to open up their shop and delivery service via API to eventually allow stores to use them as a full end-to-end delivery service and sales channel.
The other play is to do what DoorDash is doing with focusing on the core logistics/driver infrastructure and route/scheduling optimization software. Doordash is generic enough to go beyond restaurant delivery and become an open alternative to last-mile courier services in the market today. It's basically Uber cargo but I think they could do so much more by making it an open service that any business could use to handle on-demand delivery to their end users. If Trader Joes wants to provide delivery, they just need to be able to ping DoorDash with an address and have a box ready when a driver arrives. This offloads the liability and capital costs associated with having your own drivers and delivery trucks, etc.
Bigger selection
Speak directly with your shopper
Also, if any of the major supermarkets in the US step in and decide to offer this service won't Instacart's business be instantly obliterated?
Is there something I'm missing?
Edit: I guess someone accidentally down voted my perfectly valid question.
For starters, I could have a single watermelon delivered at 11pm for a party I had going on, but with Safeway, I could not do same day delivery and it would need to be delivered during working hours the following day because the other times were already booked. Safeway's delivery mechanism is probably good enough for large offices that need regular deliveries, but Instacart is good for all other times. I probably would just stick with a single delivery service for everything so I wouldn't waste my time using Safeway's service.
Instacart feels very similar to Google Shopping Express, and if you haven't tried out either service, you should definitely try one of them out. Google Shopping Express can't deliver perishables, but they do support Costco, so if you don't have a car and you need 50 rolls of paper towel, that's the best place to be.
I could see it working extremely well in big compact cities since they already have many delivery services. However, in the spread out areas it wouldn't work so well without many drivers which increases costs and the price of goods.
Also, most people want to inspect their fruit and veggies before they buy them. The interfaces could take input on the state but that would just slow things down IMO while a human would have to sort them. Unless there are systems out there for ripeness detection. I might buy something for tonight's dinner, in which I want something ready, or I might be preparing for a weekend dinner and want something that still needs time.
I believe all of these issues can be overcome, but I don't see how all that labor, vehicles, and tech could be a marginal cost. Well, I can see the tech cost approaching zero/order since all it needs is the existing catalog/POS system with a simple web interface. Most people I know either shop on their way home from work, a trip they are already paying for, or wait for the weekend to go as a group.
At least among my friends, Instacart seems to be more popular for Trader Joe's and Whole Foods.
1. I hope they use some of it to hire more shoppers. It is increasingly common to log in at 10am and see no available delivery times until the next day.
2. "The company makes its money through the delivery fees." That is disingenuous. They appear to make significant margin on grocery items. It's fine - I'm willing to pay for it - but I think they consistently gloss over this fact.
That said, I've been a huge champion of them to my friends and family, and I'll continue to be. Congrats on the growth.
Not complaining, just wish the messaging didn't gloss over it as mentioned above.
It was a serious question that deserves a serious answer, not self-righteous snark.