There are also some sad cases where out-of-order patent processing caused later filed patents issued more than a year before earlier filed pending app. You don't get interference proceedings if the later-filed patent issued more than a year before your pending app. You just get a huge mess instead ;)
To answer the other question, since AIA makes secret commercialization not prior art, I expect more people will sell stuff under NDA[1]. Hopefully, more people will publish too.
[1] The statute itself is a bit ambiguous, but the PTO's new guidelines say "The legislative history of the AIA indicates that the inclusion of this clause in AIA 35 U.S.C. 102(a)(1) should be viewed as indicating that AIA 35 U.S.C. 102(a)(1) does not cover non-public uses or nonpublic offers for sale "