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0 pointstrollbridge18d ago0 comments

Could you please describe the other satellite launch services whose prices are competitive with SpaceX?

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8 comments · 4 top-level

brainwad17d ago· 2 in thread

The whole of the space part of SpaceX is like 10% of the claimed business according to their S-1. And most of that is Starlink, not launches for third parties.

tgsovlerkhgsel17d ago

But building a Starlink competitor is essentially impossible without also building a space company, and the main competitor doing that just turned their only launchpad into a crater and is out of the game for a year or so.

brainwad17d ago

Yes but 90% of the value is supposed to come from xAI, where you decidedly don't need to be a space company to compete. The space part of SpaceX literally doesn't matter, it's an AI company according to its financials. If you need to care about the space parts, the company is overvalued by an order of magnitude or more.

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Imustaskforhelp17d ago· 2 in thread

If you are asking for government and research needs rather than commercial then ISRO (Indian space research organization) beats SpaceX

That being said, ISRO focuses more on research and scientific world as compared to the commercial world but they were the least expensive option out there before SpaceX and the only differential which causes the pricing is actually re-usability aspect of SpaceX rockets/launchers and ISRO is actively working towards that too.

And another thing as brainwad said here but Space part of SpaceX is just 10% of the claimed business according to their S-1

trollbridgeOP17d ago

So, in other words, launch is not actually a commodotised thing yet and there's nobody else out there that can actually beat SpaceX on price.

Imustaskforhelp15d ago

If you want to invest into a company that barely does space at 10% and is 90% a datacenter Reits essentially at a P/E ratio of 90 whereas others have around 10 so you are gonna overpay for 10 times or a magnitude more

Then sure, yes you are correct.

https://martinalderson.com/posts/xais-new-rental-business/: seems to be a post on the frontpage of HN at the moment on what I am currently saying.

loeg17d ago

SpaceX's launch business is great, but does not justify the majority of the valuation.

Lplololopo17d ago

We will see China comming up soon i would argue.

But otherwise yeah SpaceX one that one for now. Only issue with this: We don't have enough payload for SpaceX to expand that much more.

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