Your accountant will be configuring their own work software.

Your project manager will be developing their own work software.

Custodians will not necessarily be developing work software.

Most non-tech desk-staff start to lose focus after the fifth reply on a social media thread…

I do not believe they’re going to be able to perform the three required steps for building software solutions:

1. Know what you need (vs want).

2. Know how to ask for it.

3. Have a process for validating it.

I also don’t think it gets too much simpler than Docker et al for self-hosting, yet those concepts are genuinely a foreign language to even “tech-savvy” consumers.

I think we’re in a bubble, here,

and I am personally betting on one niche (of many) where value ($$$$) is still placed upon having another team to outsource responsibility to.

Responsibility for keeping an important tool up-to-date, keeping it able to capture data,

and most importantly: rigorously tested to ensure it’ll perform calculations correctly.

Responsibility for peak tooling, so a busy end-user can stay responsible for their craft without taking a sabbatical to build software is not going anywhere.

Whether these “peak tools” will be (validated, packaged, delivered to the user, maintained) by me,

or OpenAI/Anthropic instant-agents in 10 years,

is what I believe we should be watching.