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0 pointssjsdaiuasgdia1mo ago0 comments

Ok so let's talk about more terrestrial promises.

How are robotaxis coming along, versus the promises?

How are Optimus robots coming along, versus the promises?

How is the 2nd edition Roadster coming along, versus the promises?

You need to stop thinking of Musk in terms of a person who has "done amazing things" and letting that lead you to a belief that he has some kind of special ability in this space.

He's the money guy. He's occasionally managed to acquire talent that has done amazing things. This does not give him an innate "make amazing things happen" ability. He can throw money at bad ideas and ineffectual people. He can make something happen given the size of his wealth, but whether that actually achieves any of the stated goals is largely independent of his own actions.

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Nevermark1mo ago· 1 in thread

Lots of late deliveries. This seems to be important to you.

On the one hand, we have major advance, after major advance. But on the other hand, we have crossed out dates on a calendar! Cool things that were mentioned but haven't happen yet! Sad calendar! It's a real toss up!

Puzzle question: is aspirational calendar-target overoptimism good or bad if you get things done late, but sooner than you would have, or at least, more things than you would have, than if you had set more "realistic" targets. Like decades. And then been late for that.

I suggest instead complaining, you your time and Elon's tardiness to beat him to the punch! Lemonade punch.

Meanwhile, the rest of us are late at things, but without the contrast of famous wins, nobody complains. It is so unfair!

sjsdaiuasgdiaOP1mo ago

It's not really about "late" at this point. It's failure to deliver.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predictions_for_autono...

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