This is really my biggest worry when it gets to consumer AI. People already have a hard time informing themselves properly. Now we have technology that just boosts the already existing confirmation bias people have. It's sickening.

Maybe short term yes. But longer term people will finally put their guard up against deception that’s been around for decades.

My mother has started watching 100% AI generated stories on YouTube. They are good enough to be entertaining even if they include random errors like messing up the main character’s name.

The thing is the creative economy is all about people’s attention and pocketbooks, it doesn’t need to be great just good enough.

The truly excellent weavers will be fine?

That’s really not how this is going to play out.

When advertising agencies for example see that their copywriter can go from idea to concept with a video generator instead of engaging an animator, they’ll simply cut the middleman who used to create that animation for them and use the tool instead, even if the content isn’t as good (though the quality of this one is really pretty good, there are obvious problems). They’ll happily accept mediocrity to save money.

People will still create adverts but quality and creativity will go down and a lot of jobs are going to be suddenly displaced.

Does "creative" mean that you are creative at coming up with ideas or does it mean that you are artistic and can create stuff?

I suppose it is more the latter, and it's the artistic people who create stuff who will suffer. The ones coming up with ideas, but previously couldn't create becasuse they lacked skill might win thanks to AI.

Coming up with ideas is easy, creating and putting in the effort is hard (until we had AI).

Probably the value of created stuff will go down rapidly because there will be so much of it.

In a serious creative tool you would also want a lot more creative input. At a minimum the ability to steer the animation with skeletons that feed into a control net, or something like that. And the ability to control the look and feel and create much more consistent characters. Both things that exist in good tooling, but both things that create work that will keep animators employed. But it will dramatically reduce the number of animators needed to reach a given level of "good enough".

And looking at the trajectory of the animation industry, I don't think increases in productivity will be used to raise the quality of the animation if the alternative is to just pay fewer animators

Yes sure if you look closely it’s slop, but a huge number of companies and advertisers just don’t care (and they feel the same about their social media content, blogs and yes code) - they will attempt to cut corners where they can to the detriment of true artists.

But yes, for anyone who does this for a living there will be obvious deficiencies, esp when you try to do something truly novel, intentional and interesting and don’t quite want what it produces.

But in this area they have made quite a lot of progress.