Sure you are. You said:
"Retries will only receive 409 if the original request was successful. If the original request failed, the server performs the operation as normal on the second request. It doesn't replay failures."
I understand all that just fine; you don't need to keep trying to "reframe" it. But what you said that I just quoted above assumes, implicitly, that if you get a second request with the same idempotency key, the original request has either failed or succeeded--because you don't even address the case where neither of those things are true. I'm asking you to address that case.
If your answer is "that will never happen", I disagree, and I explained why in response to your question about why the client would send a retry if it hasn't received a response to the original request. You could answer, I guess, that you still think that would never happen--and I would still disagree. But at least that would be an answer. So far all you've done is "reframe" something that I already understand and wasn't asking about.