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0 pointsdismalaf1mo ago0 comments

There will be a 2 week ceasefire, western countries will move ships out of the straight, the Saudis will reroute oil, the 10 point plan is idiotic and the US will have an easy excuse to resume bombing them.

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M95D1mo ago

I agree with you that this is just temporary, but for entirely different reasons. I think that stock market fluctuations are making some people very very rich. It's the same game as they did with the tariffs on/off every week and it's not over yet.

011000111mo ago

I don't think we know if the ceasefire will hold or if it's another attempt by trump at strategic delay/deception, but remember that the strait carries a lot more than oil and those things cannot be transported via a pipeline.

antoniojtorres1mo ago

Reroute where? Nonsense. If that was the case then the tensions wouldn’t be this high.

dismalafOP1mo ago

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East%E2%80%93West_Crude_Oil_Pi...

Tensions are high because of all the trapped ships. Not because there's no alternative.

decimalenough1mo ago

The Saudi & UAE pipelines combined can only carry around 9mbpd and are already maxed out, compared to an average of 20 through the Strait.

dismalafOP1mo ago

And? Reduced capacity for awhile raises prices, the Saudis can sit on some oil and have the US get rid of their geopolitical and economic rival.

Again, short term goal is to clear out the stranded ships and the war can resume.

Because the Iranian 10 point plan is so ridiculous even Trump isn't dumb enough to take it.

3 more replies

hvb21mo ago

That has a capacity of 7M barrels a day, so not an alternative. It'll lessen the blow a tiny bit but that's all it does

iugtmkbdfil8341mo ago

Ok. This is getting silly and on par with 'the straight is open; it is only closed, because Iran is blocking it' quip from Hegseth. Tensions are high, because there are trapped hips AND there is no viable alternative.

cozzyd1mo ago

Wait until you hear about the Houthis.(or the fact that the pipeline is only a small fraction of the capacity of the strait).

dismalafOP1mo ago

All the proxies Iran arms is a good argument for continuing to attack them.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse

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M95D1mo ago

011000111mo ago

antoniojtorres1mo ago

Reroute where? Nonsense. If that was the case then the tensions wouldn’t be this high.

dismalafOP1mo ago

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East%E2%80%93West_Crude_Oil_Pi...

Tensions are high because of all the trapped ships. Not because there's no alternative.

decimalenough1mo ago

The Saudi & UAE pipelines combined can only carry around 9mbpd and are already maxed out, compared to an average of 20 through the Strait.

dismalafOP1mo ago

And? Reduced capacity for awhile raises prices, the Saudis can sit on some oil and have the US get rid of their geopolitical and economic rival.

Again, short term goal is to clear out the stranded ships and the war can resume.

Because the Iranian 10 point plan is so ridiculous even Trump isn't dumb enough to take it.

3 more replies

hvb21mo ago

That has a capacity of 7M barrels a day, so not an alternative. It'll lessen the blow a tiny bit but that's all it does

iugtmkbdfil8341mo ago

cozzyd1mo ago

Wait until you hear about the Houthis.(or the fact that the pipeline is only a small fraction of the capacity of the strait).

dismalafOP1mo ago

All the proxies Iran arms is a good argument for continuing to attack them.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse