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0 pointsgetnormality2mo ago0 comments

In what way is AI 2027 coming true?

AI 2027 predicted a giant model with the ability to accelerate AI research exponentially. This isn't happening.

AI 2027 didn't predict a model with superhuman zero-day finding skills. This is what's happening.

Also, I just looked through it again, and they never even predicted when AI would get good at video games. It just went straight from being bad at video games to world domination.

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4 comments · 4 top-level

desertrider122mo ago

> Early 2026: OpenBrain continues to deploy the iteratively improving Agent-1 internally for AI R&D. Overall, they are making algorithmic progress 50% faster than they would without AI assistants—and more importantly, faster than their competitors.

> you could think of Agent-1 as a scatterbrained employee who thrives under careful management

According to this document, 1 of the 18 Anthropic staff surveyed even said the model could completely replace an entry level researcher.

So I'd say we've reached this milestone.

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Analemma_2mo ago

Both Anthropic and OpenAI employees have been saying since about January that their latest models are contributing significantly to their frontier research. They could be exaggerating, but I don’t think they are. That combined with the high degree of autonomy and sandbox escape demonstrated by Mythos seems to me like we’re exactly on the AI 2027 trajectory.

stratos1232mo ago

In AI 2027, May 2026 is when the first model with professional-human hacking abilities is developed. It's currently April 2026 and Mythos just got previewed.

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throw3108222mo ago

It's true though that the cyber security skills put firmly these models in the "weapons" category. I can't imagine China and other major powers not scrambling to get their own equivalent models asap and at any cost- it's almost existential at this point. So a proper arms race between superpowers has begun.

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