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0 pointsmchaver2mo ago0 comments

> The thing is, agents aren’t going away. So if Bob can do things with agents, he can do things.

Following the model of how startups have worked for the last 20 years or so, I expect agents to eventually be locked-down/nerfed/ad-infested for higher payments. We are enjoying the fruits of VC money at the moment and they are getting everyone addicted to agents. Eventually they need to turn a profit.

Not sure how this plays out, but I would hang on to any competencies you have for anyone (or business) that wants to stick around in software. Use agents strategically, but don't give up your ability to code/reason/document, etc. The only way I can see this working differently is that there are huge advances in efficiency and open-source models.

0 pointsmchaver2mo ago0 comments

> The thing is, agents aren’t going away. So if Bob can do things with agents, he can do things.

0 comments

4 comments · 2 top-level

spacechild12mo ago· 2 in thread

That's one of several reasons why I'm trying not to rely too much on LLMs. The prospect of only being able to code with a working internet connection and a subscription to some megacorp service is not particularly appealing to me.

xnzakg2mo ago

Local/open LLMs are a thing though. You can build a server for hosting decent sized (100-200B) models at home for a few k$. They may not be Opus-level, but hopefully we can get something matching current SOTA, but that we can run locally, before the megacorps get too greedy.

Alternatively you could find some other people to share the HW cost and run some larger models (like Kimi-K2.5 at 1.1T params).

spacechild12mo ago

> You can build a server for hosting decent sized (100-200B) models at home for a few k$.

That's definitely not an option for me :-D

True open LLMs could be a viable solution in the future, but only if they can be operated and sustained on a community basis. I have too little insights into the actual costs of running such models to judge whether this would be feasible. Then there is always the problem of how to deal with bad actors. This is all but trivial.

At the moment, I'd rather spend time working on sharpening my actual programming and thinking skills :) I actually enjoy the act of programming and see it as part of my creative expression. Fortunately, I don't code for a living (at least not directly), so nobody can tell me how to write my software.

foxglacier2mo ago

Even when they're profitable, the premium ad-free service will still be cheaper than humans, so those skills will still be mostly useless.

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