Didn't OpenAI buy up 40% of the capacity all at once?
Freshman economics would say that supply is fine and that prices shouldn't move. But they did anyway. And the reason is speculation.
sure there is. not formally, but if you hold a contract for x units of future production, you can sell that contract to somebody else who wants those units more than you do.
https://www.mooreslawisdead.com/post/sam-altman-s-dirty-dram...
Its still speculative that OpenAI won't go bankrupt and have to free it back to the market, but if it is holding them unfinished it is a supply constraint on finished RAM chips even if not on wafer output.
Have we gotten anymore word on the potential Helium constraints that SK Hynix was making noise about after the strike on the helium plant in the Middle East that suppplied 60% of S. Korea's Helium? Because that could definitely put a kink in things, since SKH is one of the 3 remaining big DRAM producers.