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0 pointsthreethirtytwo2mo ago0 comments

You hope. But you need to think realistically. Not hopefully.

Trendlines will continue. Even the one for greenhouse gases. That is the most realistic scenario. In fact the trendline for greenhouse gases is even stronger than AI. I am far more confident about greenhouse gases continuing to rise than I am for AI.

Telling me how another trendline points to a shitty reality doesn't change the fact that the shitty reality is still reality. It's a common mistake in debate.

I haven't stated whether I hope for one reality or the other. I'm simply stating the most probable future. You haven't even disagreed with me.

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not_paid_by_yt2mo ago· 1 in thread

we are probably not going to keep pumping CO2 out at the rate of the worst case scenario of business because believe it or not companies are aware there is little profit to be made from dead consumers.

The realistic scenarios are still pretty bad but less so.

Just assuming LLMs will scale to the point of being more useful as all these companies are banking on is not unfounded but it's also just an educated guess because of their own optimistic prediction they will be able to bring about a new fascist world they are in charge of before they run out of money. It's very likely we are all screwed but it's also very likely LLMs will not scale up fast enough so they can replace the majority of human labor.

threethirtytwoOP2mo ago

Look up the tragedy of the commons. It’s revelatory. If companies know it’s suicide why haven’t they stopped yesterday? If they knew yesterday and could’ve stopped yesterday then it’s clear that there’s no precedence indicating they will stop in the future.

The question is why? Tragedy of the commons.

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