undefined | Better HN

0 pointsjiggawatts20d ago0 comments

> My belief based on personal experience is that in software engineering it wasn't until November/December 2025 that AI had enough impact to measurably accelerate delivery throughout the whole software development lifecycle.

Gemini 3 and Opus 4.6 were the "woah, they're actually useful now!" moment for me.

I keep saying to colleagues that it's like a rising tide. Initially the AIs were lapping around our ankles, now the level of capability is at waist height.

Many people have commented that 50% of developers think AI-generated code is "Great!" and 50% think its trash. That's a sign that AI code quality is that of the median developer. This will likely improve to 60%-40%, then 70%-30%, etc...

0 comments

falkensmaize20d ago

I don’t see definitive evidence that there is some kind of Moore’s law for model improvement though. Just because this year’s model performs better than last year’s model doesn’t mean next year’s model will be another leap. Most of the big improvements this year seem to be around tooling - I still see Opus 4.6 (which is my daily driver at work) making lots of mistakes.

nl20d ago

Things like the METR benchmark aren't sufficient?

I mean Moore's law is just a rule of thumb but the curve fits METR just as well..

gzread19d ago

Was that the benchmark that showed developers think they're 20% faster with AI, but are 20% slower?

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse