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0 pointsguerrilla2mo ago0 comments

> Even if Trump doesn't care, Israel is very motivated to make regime change happen.

It doesn't matter. There are zero cases in history of successful regime change by air only. Iran, of all countries, has an extremely robust succession plan and at a last resort the IRGC itself will take over.

> Iran has already sprinkled some ballistic missiles on them just in this war

I can see you're not following this too seriously.

You didn't give objective criteria for how to judge whether you're right or wrong yet.

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andrewflnr2mo ago

You should follow more seriously which usernames you're talking to. But as far as objective criteria, if a regime change happens I don't expect it to be subtle or debatable. Seeing the IRGC disbanded would be a pretty solid signal, though.

Obviously it's not going to be done 100% from the air. The Iranian people will have to play a big role. I just hope they manage to seize initiative from Trump and Netanyahu as far as how their government is run.

I do note that we've strayed a bit from the thesis of "Iran is so powerful Israel and the US have to gang up on it". :D

guerrillaOP2mo ago

> You should follow more seriously which usernames you're talking to.

Eh, shit happens.

andrewflnr2mo ago

Sure. Anyway, did you have a factual critique of my statement about Iran throwing ballistic missiles around the Middle East, or did you just find my tone insufficiently serious?

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andrewflnr2mo ago

I do note that we've strayed a bit from the thesis of "Iran is so powerful Israel and the US have to gang up on it". :D

guerrillaOP2mo ago

> You should follow more seriously which usernames you're talking to.

Eh, shit happens.

andrewflnr2mo ago

Sure. Anyway, did you have a factual critique of my statement about Iran throwing ballistic missiles around the Middle East, or did you just find my tone insufficiently serious?

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse