I had an idea for something that I wanted, and in five scattered hours, I got it good enough to use. I'm thinking about it in a few different ways:
1. I estimate I could have done it without AI with 2 weeks full-time effort. (Full-time defined as >> 40 hours / week.)
2. I have too many other things to do that are purportedly more important that programming. I really can't dedicate to two weeks full-time to a "nice to have" project. So, without AI, I wouldn't have done it at all.
3. I could hire someone to do it for me. At the university, those are students. From experience with lots of advising, a top-tier undergraduate student could have achieved the same thing, had they worked full tilt for a semester (before LLMs). This of course assumes that I'm meeting them every week.