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p1esk
7mo ago
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I don’t actually, did he specify a year? He made a lot of predictions, many are wrong, but the AGI one is pretty amazing.
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saagarjha
7mo ago
2020s was my understanding; he made this prediction around the time that he made the AGI one. I think he has recently pushed it back to 2030s because it seems unlikely to come true.
godelski
7mo ago
> many are wrong, but the AGI one is pretty amazing.
If you make enough predictions eventually one will be right
Or at least one will be exciting
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