Taleb's examples are a variant of this, where the majority is passive instead of static
That's something I'd like to understand better... Why would they TRY to divide evenly? Where's the party that takes the majority position for each topic? It seems foolish to play for a draw or tie, so something else must be happening.
From what I've seen in my life, people are more likely conform to their party than vice versa. But I've got a very small sample size.
It's only on a national level that the parity becomes visible.
It reminds me of WWI attrition tactics..
(I'm trying to analyze the data on this ATM- please tolerate 8my current read. If you've got a better way to say it don't hold back!)
You brought up a "silent minority" effect that I've to think/find out more about. Your friends that disagree with their party line usually stays out of the vote. However,that seems to make (the impact of) the actual swing voter even stronger, according to my very preliminary analysis
