undefined | Better HN

0 pointsalkonaut10mo ago0 comments

The lack of appetite in the US didn’t stop this. And the lack of appetite among normal Iranians won’t matter much.

War is better for regime survival than peace. This is a country ruled by a very scared elite that isn’t held accountable for anything and whose only means of survival is creating continuous distractions from domestic failures. And it’s similar in Iran.

0 comments

abcd_f10mo ago

> And it’s similar in Iran.

Nice.

alkonautOP10mo ago

Thanks. Autocrat jokes basically writing themselves at this point.

gpt510mo ago

The Iranian regime has gone through serious military blows in the past and survived. Their best course of action is de-escalation and regaining domestic control.

alkonautOP10mo ago

Yes I was primarily thinking about regime survival in Washington, not Teheran.

ReptileMan10mo ago

>War is better for regime survival than peace.

Not when your adversary has air superiority and they can just kill at will the leaders and elite and not the schmucks. Israel's tactics is to kill important people and links.

alkonautOP10mo ago

Iran doesn’t have air superiority (you probably misread which countries’ regime I meant…)

ReptileMan10mo ago

Probably. Since of the three involved only Iran has a regime. The other two have democratically elected governments.

2 more replies

zelphirkalt10mo ago

I think you need to take a look at Gaza and revise a little about Israeli tactics.

youngtaff10mo ago

Iran will just employ asymmetrical means of defense and it will go on for years

Israel’s decades long subjugation of the Palestinian people hasn’t brought them closer to peace

karmakurtisaani10mo ago

> Israel’s decades long subjugation of the Palestinian people hasn’t brought them closer to peace

Recent events have convinced me the goal is not peace, but extermination.

1 more reply

samrus10mo ago

how long did it take to kill bin laden, the most wanted man on the planet? and what happened to afghanistan more than a decade after he was actually killed

this isnt software bro. its probabilistic and has high variance. even then the expected value is vietnam

ReptileMan10mo ago

Bin Laden was never part of any state's elite

czottmann10mo ago

I wish I could upvote this more than once. Well said.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse

0 comments

abcd_f10mo ago

> And it’s similar in Iran.

Nice.

alkonautOP10mo ago

Thanks. Autocrat jokes basically writing themselves at this point.

gpt510mo ago

The Iranian regime has gone through serious military blows in the past and survived. Their best course of action is de-escalation and regaining domestic control.

alkonautOP10mo ago

Yes I was primarily thinking about regime survival in Washington, not Teheran.

ReptileMan10mo ago

>War is better for regime survival than peace.

Not when your adversary has air superiority and they can just kill at will the leaders and elite and not the schmucks. Israel's tactics is to kill important people and links.

alkonautOP10mo ago

Iran doesn’t have air superiority (you probably misread which countries’ regime I meant…)

ReptileMan10mo ago

Probably. Since of the three involved only Iran has a regime. The other two have democratically elected governments.

2 more replies

zelphirkalt10mo ago

I think you need to take a look at Gaza and revise a little about Israeli tactics.

youngtaff10mo ago

Iran will just employ asymmetrical means of defense and it will go on for years

Israel’s decades long subjugation of the Palestinian people hasn’t brought them closer to peace

karmakurtisaani10mo ago

> Israel’s decades long subjugation of the Palestinian people hasn’t brought them closer to peace

Recent events have convinced me the goal is not peace, but extermination.

1 more reply

samrus10mo ago

how long did it take to kill bin laden, the most wanted man on the planet? and what happened to afghanistan more than a decade after he was actually killed

this isnt software bro. its probabilistic and has high variance. even then the expected value is vietnam

ReptileMan10mo ago

Bin Laden was never part of any state's elite

czottmann10mo ago

I wish I could upvote this more than once. Well said.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse