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0 pointsClosi10mo ago0 comments

I don’t get how someone can look at these videos and think “wow there’s lots of flaws and it’s sloppy and no storytelling” rather than “holy smokes this stuff is improving fast!”

In 2 years we have moved from AI video being mostly a pipe dream to some incredible clips! It’s not what this is like now, but what will it be like in 10 years!

0 comments

horhay10mo ago

In the era of more software advancements, people have perceived the progress of tech to be incremental more than the opposite. I think even tech bigwigs of the past have said extrapolation is a futile endeavor because technology is unpredictable.

ClosiOP10mo ago

Bill Gates saw computers and extrapolated that there would be one in every home, Gordon Moore produced Moores Law which literally extrapolated compute in the 60s and almost still holding, and you can extrapolate that GPT-5 will perform better than GPT-4, and that there will probably be a GPT-6 that will be even better than that.

Extrapolating that technology will get better in the future when it has got better in the past isn’t a sure bet, but it’s a reasonably reliable one.

quantumHazer10mo ago

No, past performances are not an indicator of future performance. Sometimes it happens to be, but many other times it does not.

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horhay10mo ago

Yeah, no. That's not my point. Saying something will get better in /any/ amount isn't unreasonable. That's being positive towards innovation and it's harmless. That's not exactly what the modern tech consumer is being made to expect nowadays. It's always the next iPhone moment. The next GPT. Always a huge leap. Like if we landed on the moon and we've been promised we'll have colonies outside the solar system by 2040

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0 pointsClosi10mo ago0 comments

I don’t get how someone can look at these videos and think “wow there’s lots of flaws and it’s sloppy and no storytelling” rather than “holy smokes this stuff is improving fast!”

In 2 years we have moved from AI video being mostly a pipe dream to some incredible clips! It’s not what this is like now, but what will it be like in 10 years!

0 comments

horhay10mo ago

ClosiOP10mo ago

Extrapolating that technology will get better in the future when it has got better in the past isn’t a sure bet, but it’s a reasonably reliable one.

quantumHazer10mo ago

No, past performances are not an indicator of future performance. Sometimes it happens to be, but many other times it does not.

1 more reply

horhay10mo ago

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse