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0 pointsdo_not_redeem0y ago0 comments

I tried a lot of dates and I don't see any step change. I see a gradual decline.

  2006-present: 5th
  2010-present: 7th
  2015-present: 19th
  2020-present: 29th

Who knows why that is. Maybe HN's audience has changed over the decades. Maybe your writing has. Maybe the novelty factor for Apple content is gone. Maybe there's just more competition for the front page now that HN is more mainstream. I just think it's unlikely that PG woke up one day and decided to screw you in particular.

The Simpsons had far too many seasons, but Matt Groening eventually went on to create Futurama. I hope you figure things out.

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Smylers0y ago

That “gradual decline” is an artifact of your maths, in which you're gradually changing the weight of recent years.

Consider a sequence with an extreme drop-off: 100, 100, 100, 100, 40. Taking averages of all the numbers, then all but the first, all but the first 2, and so on, yields: 88, 85, 80, 70, 40. That might look like it includes a gradual decline, but clearly there's nothing gradual in the underlying data.

do_not_redeemOP0y ago

Right you are, good catch. Here it is broken down by year then.

I still don't see a step change. 2022 was bad, but not as bad as that slump in 2015-2016.

znpy0y ago

> I see a gradual decline

It just seems the guy from DF can't accept that

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