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nexus_six
1y ago
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It's not early. It has reached a plateau. Are there betting odds for "AI" (LLM) benchmarks somewhere? I will bet money
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tombert
1y ago
Reaching a plateau doesn't imply that it's not early. It's still entirely plausible that we come up with a newer better model in ten years that gives us true AGI or runs on cheaper hardware or just gives us a closer approximation to human reasoning.
razcle
1y ago
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-...
nexus_six
OP
1y ago
Is there a paid market? This seems to be "play money" or "play points". I can't find anything like Polymarket with similar contracts.
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