This is not innovation, this is baseless hype over a mediocre technology. I use AI every day, so it's not like I don't see its uses, it's just not that big of a deal.
Answer 1: Some people think that LLMs are a path to the singularity, a self-improving intelligent program that will vastly exceed human intelligence and will be able to increase its knowledge exponentially, quickly answering all answerable scientific questions.
Answer 2: LLM companies need to keep the hype train rolling. I didn't watch the whole clip; I jumped around a bit, but I noticed that every time Musk interjected something, it was to exaggerate what was previously said. "Grok contains the whole internet"—"the whole of human knowledge, actually!"
I think that both answer 1 and answer 2 apply to Musk. He seems to believe that they're building a god-like entity, and he also needs to keep the money train rolling.
this and only this, everything he says when talking about how good his products are, he lies and exaggerates to get investors - from the promise of 2 manned missions to mars in 2024, to a 300 ton payload in space, and FSD.
Whatever it takes to pad the wallet.
as i watched the grok3 stream i became very angry. so very tired of being jerked around and not knowing whether or not i should be planning for the future or investing in the world as it is now… its really a form of psychological torture
I apply to pretty much every job that sounds reasonably good in terms of work-life balance, but I completely ignore anything that says AI. I really, really, really do not want to be part of a company that lies to itself, and so far all AI companies look like they are. It's not AGI. It's not gonna be AGI. Ride the hype train, cash out and lay off 80% of the workforce and jump on the next hype train, whatever. But don't hope that people who want a stable job want to hop on something that delivers such a shaky definition of value.
Can we stop for a second and just marvel at a new piece of human ingenuity? Let's not give Elon too much credit, but I think that AI as a whole helps us all understand the nature of intelligence, and therefore humans' place in the universe.
One of the fundamental questions of human existence is: what does it mean to exist and think? Every time we build a new human-like thing it helps us understand the context of our own existence. (Not just computers or AI, but also airplanes, factories, etc.)
True AGI would force us to rethink what it means to be a thinking human being, and I think current LLMs already should and do.
I don't know, man. We're staring down the barrel of at best a WW3-event and at worst an extinction-event. We're doing absolutely nothing to stop it, even though we have all the answers and the resources to do so. Instead, we're making the problem even worse all so some marketers and scammers can spend someone else's money to generate garbage pictures and SEO spam, so the worst people on the planet can gain even more money and power than they already have.
I'd love to be positive about this tech, I'm sure it's cool or whatever, but it's really hard to be positive about anything right now, especially when the tech in question is speeding us straight along the path to mass death. The world sucks and the people running the LLM stuff are amoral monsters putting all of their resources into making it worse. I'm not excited about any of this.
I think this is my main point- isn't it amazing that a thing that predicts words other humans have previously written manages to appear intelligent, or, more pointedly, have utility in communicating real thoughts and ideas?
If you've ever asked an LLM a question and gotten a satisfying answer, that means that there is some human-level intelligence somewhere in the token filtering / recombinating that an LLM does.
Specifically I think the test of human-like intelligence is literally the output- If we get utility from the arrangements of the tokens it outputs, that in and of itself demonstrates that some portion of human intelligence could be this same token generation mechanic.
It is like sitting down at a piano, sight reading a piece from sheet music and then someone who has no idea what they are talking about claiming you composed the music on the fly. Then when you point out the sheet music they just double down on some bullshit as to why they are still right and that is still composing even though obviously it is not.
Can you list a few demonstrations from a text-outputting computer program that would each convince you that there is intelligence here? Eg writing a bestselling novel, proving an unsolved number theory conjecture, etc. Or is your belief uncontestable?
Elon is showing off he can marshal enough resources and talents to be on par (kinda) with state of the art products in crazy time. That's been most of his superpower so far - not breakthrough tech that didnt exist before. We've had rockets before.
Landing a rocket was considered impossible and unthinkable 10 years ago, and then SpaceX completely changed the game. And they're reinventing rocket tech again with Starship by catching it midair.
When it come to bipedal robots, Tesla is far ahead of Boston Dynamics in terms of actually creating a product.
Yeah, but we didn't have reusable orbital rockets, and that's a distinction with a big difference.
Of course, he needs to do impressive things, stuff that a normal person wouldn’t have the resources to achieve. It’s similar to Mr. Beast’s channel on YouTube, just on a way bigger scale. Do things that people can’t see anywhere else.
Musk’s money will come from his fans. And ETFs, trust funds and such will amplify this when he reaches a certain market cap. His crypto coins are the exact same scheme. Once you stop thinking in classic business school terms, it starts making way more sense.
Some of his ventures actually produce value! But that’s not where the money comes from. It comes from the belief, the adoration and the celebrity status that he has.
This is the real power in today’s world. People need to know you from the screen. This clout catapulted him to the government of the US, made him the most wealthy man in the world and given him the license to do anything he wants publicly without repercussions.
SpaceX is private, Starlink makes real money from real users.
> Everything he does is done to influence the public opinion to make him the tech genius of today in the collective psyche.
Well that's clearly not right. He's doing a lot of things to make himself seem like a total tool that we should all boycott no matter how good the products are. If he actually did what you say, he wouldn't be burning all these bridges.
Remember he was way less crazy before his market cap skyrocketed. Now he can afford being polarizing as a PR strategy once his fanbase has reached a certain critical mass. He’s been constantly testing what works.
Even more importantly, analysis of Elon's tweeting patterns versus Tesla stock valuation makes the why Twitter became so central to him obvious[1] - it was a massive driver of Tesla stock value. Buying it was a good move from the perspective that he really couldn't afford to be banned from Twitter.
[1] https://www.sciencepublishinggroup.com/article/10.11648/j.ij...
Though free and open-source solutions are not that bad like https://github.com/ApolloAuto/apollo
But the build quality of a Tesla car itself, omg. It feels like a carton box with an amazing battery.
That doesn't make sense as most (66%) of the stock is owned by institutions. [1]
[1]: https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/TSLA/institutional-...
The man has almost unlimited wealth and his motivations seem consistently petty and strange or just downright ludicrous. He's like an alien to me.
I've noted the same feeling when seeing VCs/business people speak when I've encountered them.
The modern era post-business is about dipping into everyone’s pockets, by securing cash flow from the stock market and the government.
Here building a profitable business model is less important than convincing people and the government to give you that dough. And the best way to do it is to have clout.
I think it could help to try to think of a historical figure that has done impressive things but which you don't have an overly negative view of. A lot of them seem really weird or alien. In democracies, political leaders are (sometimes!) more "normal" because they have to get elected. So think of a CEO/Founder you like (Jobs?) or earlier people (Napoleon? I dunno, pick yours)
Read a bio on them, they're pretty strange (I like Churchill, dude was wild). It seems that to do extraordinary things you need some traits that make you ludicrous. I don't really know, but it's definitely a pattern
Promises FSD, sells EVs.
Promises Mars colony, sells self landing rockets and sattelite internet.
Promises faster tunnel boring, sells smaller tunnel boring machine that drills smaller tunnels.
Promises less corruption and bureaucracy, just fires people.
Do you know why people do it? Because it works.
