https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33083
I mean it had more space than the Nomad and wireless. What else could he have wanted?
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> What marketshare do you think iphone needs to make such an impact?
5%
> And why do you think it will gain that huge marketshare?
Because of iPod (because iPod already has quite a bit of market share).
> Its the first "nice looking internet in your pocket". But is that enough to take over the mobile world?
Actually, iPhone is much more than just that.
> First Mover = guaranteed success?
No, of course being first mover does not alone guarantee success.
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Then again, pg was wrong is his main point that either Flash or Microsoft's Silverlight would take over the world.
This was already wrong when he said it to me (I was pitching a mobile question answering system developed in 2004), as then an ugly HTML cousin called WAP already existed. I have never taken any risk capital investor that did not have their own tech exist seriously since then.