It is likely that this is more than anecdata.
And trans are also over represented because of this connection.
If you see lots of trans people where you work, they may very well be hiring or at least referring each other. I've seen that phenomenon with gay people too. Once in a while you'll run across a business with a lot of one kind of person.
My cohort is the category theorists / functional programming crowd which indeed has a higher percentage of trans people in it than even other programming cohorts. But this is not due to a hiring ring, they lack the numbers.
As far as work quality, I think assuming trans people are better in some way is the same kind of fallacy as assuming autistic people are geniuses like Rain Man. Most of them probably aren't.