Everything optimized in Nature RL is an approximation. HPWL is where you start, and RL uses it in the objective function too. As shown in "Stronger Baselines", RL loses a lot by HPWL - so much that nothing else can save it. If your wires are very long, you need routing tracks to route them, and you end up with congestion too.

SA consistently produces better solutions than RL for various time budgets. That's what matters. Both papers have shown that SA produces competent solutions. You give SA more time, you get better solutions. In a fair comparison, you give equal budgets to SA and RL. RL loses. This was confirmed using Google's RL code and two independent SA implementations, on many circuits. Very definitively. No, ML did not have SA beat - please read the papers.

Cadence hasn't funded Kahng for a long time. In fact, Google funded Kahng more recently, so he has all the incentives to support Google. Markov's LinkedIn page says he worked at Google before. Even Chatterjee, of all people, worked at Google.

Google's open-source tool is a head fake, it's practically unusable.

Update: I'll respond to the next comment here since there's no Reply button.

1. The Nature paper said one thing, the code did something else, as we've discovered. The RL method does some training as it goes. So, pre-training is not the same as training. Hence "pre". Another problem with pretraining in Google work is data contamination - we can't compare test and training data. The Google folks admitted to training and testing on different versions of the same design. That's bad. Rejection-level bad.

2. HPWL is indeed a nice simple objective. So nice that Jeff Dean's recent talks use it. It is chip design. All commercial circuit placers without exception optimize it and report it. All EDA publications report it. Google's RL optimized HPWL + density + congestion

3. This shows you aren't familiar with EDA. Simulated Annealing was the king of placement from mid 1980s to mid 1990s. Most chips were placed by SA. But you don't have to go far - as I recall, the Nature paper says they used SA to postprocess macro placements.

SA can indeed find mediocre solutions quickly, but keeps on improving them, just like RL. Perhaps, you aren't familiar with SA. I am. There are provable results showing SA finds optimal solution if given enough time. Not for RL.