I think we have to look at these as an early iteration. These bots are only going to get better and better.
chatgpt-4o after much hype, billions of dollars and years later didn't improve much in terms of core intelligence of its responses.
I guess thats not enough for "AGI is coming because we have chatbot" crowd.
GPT5 will be the test of whether or not things are still going upwards.
I think it’s utterly fascinating how quickly people have lost sight of current reality, either by believing AGI must be around the corner, or by being sure it absolutely isn’t. Assuming 4o is the most advanced model we ever have, the point still stands. Many of the poorly built bots would blend in much more effectively with iteration on their prompting and design and by more effectively using existing services.
I personally think we’re decades away from AGI (if we ever get there), but that has nothing to do with this.
More and more I think AGI is shifting to mean "machine soul" or some nebulous wishy-washy unfalsifiable religious/philosophy shit like that. What meaning could AGI have which is empirically verifiable, other than being indistinguishable from people? Humans I presume are supposed to have "general intelligence", so if there isn't a detectable difference between the machine and humans, how is that not artificial general intelligence?
curious, why do you this is going to happen. Whats the thought process here to come to that conclusion.
ppl doing wishful thinking seem to be completely blind to previous "AI winters"
