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0 pointsthiagoharry1y ago0 comments

> if you care what OAS says, officially deemed fraudulent.

I do not care. Later studies contradicted and criticized OAS conclusion. OAS was a player in the 2019 coup:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/02/26/bolivia-d...

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3621475

> Anez, an unapologetic right-winger appointed by standard constitutional succession rules,

What rules? She was not Evo Morales successor. The correct successors were being persecuted and had access denied to the government buildings. And during Anez illegitimate government, she used violence and the police to attack protesters and to persecute the opposition [1]. They tried to postpone the election, but they had no popular support and their coup was unsustainable.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senkata_and_Sacaba_massacres

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Aloisius1y ago

> Later studies contradicted and criticized OAS conclusion.

They criticized the statistical analysis which was not actually the main evidence OAS gave. It's just what everyone focused on.

The main evidence was someone replaced the servers used to transcribe/verify tally sheets bypassing auditing and accessed the machines while they were counting and a they found changes in the minutes and the forgeries of poll officials' signatures.

tptacek1y ago

Eh, there's a lot of criticism of the OAS report, and a lot of it is persuasive. It's hard to argue that Morales should have been allowed in the race in the first place, though.

tptacek1y ago

Anez was another in a long line of Bolivian heads of state that terribly abused their power. If you're trying to position me to defend the right-wing elite of any country in South America, you're barking up the wrong tree. But Anez assumed the role of interim president after a constitutional crisis, promised prompt elections, and peacefully transferred power back to Morales party, which then immediately had her imprisoned.

SauciestGNU1y ago

That's a really generous reading of events. My reading was that Anez and her cohort orchestrated a successful coup, but couldn't hold power and were forced to concede and hold elections, in which the party which had been deposed in Anez's coup again won the majority vote

tptacek1y ago

Again: the only reason Anez, who occupied the same spot in the Bolivian line of succession that Anthony Blinken does in ours, assumed power was that 3 of Morales supporters higher in the order than her resigned. That's an awfully elaborate coup design!

thiagoharryOP1y ago

I wonder why they resigned... Just because they were being attacked, their houses burned, with family members being kidnapped, all while they were prevented from entering government buildings....

1 more reply

thiagoharryOP1y ago

All recent coups in Latin America (and several coups outside) follows the exact same script: overthrown the government and say that is temporary and you will organize new elections. During this time, use propaganda, media, repression and sometimes new laws to weaken the overthrowned group so that they will lose the elections. Foreign countries that support the coup can just initially say that they are worried with the "crisis", but then will rapidly recognize the new elected government, avoiding the embarass of openly support an obvious dictatorship.

This same script is being used at least for 20 years now (I remember being used in Equador). But its last part failed in Bolivia.

tptacek1y ago

That's exactly what didn't happen here!

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse

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Aloisius1y ago

> Later studies contradicted and criticized OAS conclusion.

They criticized the statistical analysis which was not actually the main evidence OAS gave. It's just what everyone focused on.

tptacek1y ago

Eh, there's a lot of criticism of the OAS report, and a lot of it is persuasive. It's hard to argue that Morales should have been allowed in the race in the first place, though.

tptacek1y ago

SauciestGNU1y ago

tptacek1y ago

thiagoharryOP1y ago

I wonder why they resigned... Just because they were being attacked, their houses burned, with family members being kidnapped, all while they were prevented from entering government buildings....

1 more reply

thiagoharryOP1y ago

This same script is being used at least for 20 years now (I remember being used in Equador). But its last part failed in Bolivia.

tptacek1y ago

That's exactly what didn't happen here!

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse