> So if Superintelligence depends on AGI,

Not sure, is superintelligence generic, alive. Does it have motivation, goals? Sounds like a big calculator which he personally will control. Technically it's possible. LLMs aren't the end of AI evolution.

> To me, AGI still feels a long ways off.

It depends on how you define it. Just a couple of years back current LLMs' level was like from sci-fi. But here we are and progress is accelerating. I wonder how many labs and individuals are working on AGI trying to avoid any attention. It feels like any time now. May be something subhuman first.

Yea I’m saying the same thing, you need AGI to get whatever “superintelligence” is. That’s mostly my opinion, but I wouldn’t call it SI without AGI. Personally, I’m no AI expert, but we’re very far from AGI unless one of these experts knows things I don’t about current research. LLMs are interesting, same for other large models like vision, but they don’t impress me with their abilities yet. I’m be impressed when they can replace someone other than content farmers.