What's your point?
Ostensibly, modern countries have not yet suffered the predicted population crash that might incentivize more aggressive baby bonuses (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baby_bonus). This has been a thing for awhile (https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2011/11/03/141943008/when...).
It's a likely strategy to be extensively employed in the future, if the trends are realized. It's reasonable to expect there is an economic inflection point, where the program(s) would be successful.
The only economic incentivize I can think of that might work is to remove all old age benefits and require people to depend on descendants, but that is not going to be politically palatable until there is no choice because the system fell apart.
I was thinking, "Ha; you don't have enough money to pay first worlders to breed." No carrot is sweeter than independence.
But the stick? Now you might be on to something. It kind of doesn't work out though since you're going to suffer elder abuse at the hands of an Indonesian lady in America even if you have kids; they throw you inside a home. Maybe try taking away contraceptives.
Either way, as for the "but will the kids be raised well", that's already a lost battle.
But all of this is moot. It's false dharma. It's the lamp-lighters' union trying to outlaw bulbs and lower kerosene prices. The future is pod clones. Legacy biology and 25+ years of education suck. Grow genetically engineered adults in pods in state-run facilities. That's the only meta worth striving toward.
I'm not sure that's been proven. Granted, if you need bodies, they quality of the bodies matters a bit.
> I don’t think that can be incentivized by a cash gift or tax credit.
I guess we can agree to disagree.
