I found this statement by Sam quite amusing. It transmits exactly zero information (it's a given that models will improve over time), yet it sounds profound and ambitious.

and boy did the stockholders like that one.

Why should I believe anything he says?

I will believe it when I see it. People like to point at the first part of a logistic curve and go "behold! an exponential".

So if not exponential, what would you call adding voice and image recognition, function calling, greatly increased token generation speed, reduced cost, massive context window increases and then shortly after combining all of that in a truly multi modal model that is even faster and cheaper while adding emotional range and singing in… checks notes …14 months?! Not to mention creating and improving an API, mobile apps, a marketplace and now a desktop app. OpenAI ships and they are doing so in a way that makes a lot of business sense (continue to deliver while reducing cost). Even if they didn’t have another flagship model in their back pocket I’d be happy with this rate of improvement but they are obviously about to launch another one given the teasers Mira keeps dropping.

The time for the research, training, testing and deploying of a new model at frontier scales doesn't change depending on how hyped the technology is. I just think the comment i was replying to lacks perspective.

Pay attention to the signal, ignore the noise.

People who buy into hype deserve to be disappointed. Or burned, as the case may be.