Global Warming Is Accelerating (opens in new tab)

(twitter.com)

13 pointsandyjsong2y ago16 comments

16 comments

As far as I can tell, this person’s qualifications are that he has a substack newsletter. His thread omits a lot of information on this topic, and he winds up concluding with a ad plugging a company he’s affiliated with. I’m beyond words.

barbazoo2y ago

> SO2 is so obviously the right solution that we should do it now. Here's why

The charts don't make that obvious at all. I don't trust people that tell me there's only one solution to a problem. Especially if they don't explain why.

NewJazz2y ago

He might explain why, but he decided to publish on twitter so I have no way of knowing.

gmuslera2y ago

Following Fermat steps till the end of the world.

Alifatisk2y ago

By looking at the stats, it looks like we've pretty much hit +1,5 degress celsius. Something we all feared, yet it's around the corner now.

Scary.

jfengel2y ago

We're hitting 1.5C on an intermittent basis. We hit it last year, and possibly this year, due to El Nino, but we'll probably drop below it next year.

Best estimates right now for being +1.5C every year are probably circa 2040. Though it could well be sooner, given how badly we're doing at preventing it.

breakyerself2y ago

The rate since 1982 is 0.2C per decade, but I would really like to see a chart with 10 year rolling average because it feels like it's going faster than that even before the El nino

gmuslera2y ago

It is our fault that substractive solutions are counterintuitive. So our approach to rebalance a system that we unbalanced adding something is adding even more potentially disruptive things, and, of course, not touching what we added originally nor stop adding even more each year.

bryanlarsen2y ago

But is it accelerating or just increasing at a constant rate? The second derivative of the graph looks like ~0 to me. We need to reduce the rate to 0 (or below) which means deceleration.

jaggs2y ago

Oh here we go again. Another Hacker News post for geo-engineering. Sigh. Such a waste of time. If doesn't fix any problem at all. It's just another vector for making money. Don't look up!

https://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/28/opinion/sunday/geoenginee...

andyjsongOP2y ago

There's only one thing we can do today to delay it before we burn, enough to solve the problem: SO2 injection

NewJazz2y ago

This is the only thing we can do?

netsharc2y ago

Nah, we can also debate about it some more as we cook to death...

Fucking democracy, the EU governments wanted to improve environmental protections and fucking farmers protested all over.

It feels like a dictatorship would work better, e.g. in China there are no NIMBYs about nuclear plants or solar panels. Well there are, but a visit by the police would quieten them. No I wouldn't like to live like that but the alternative is having to be considerate to every fucking Karen's opinion as the world burns...

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16 comments

chomp2y ago

barbazoo2y ago

> SO2 is so obviously the right solution that we should do it now. Here's why

The charts don't make that obvious at all. I don't trust people that tell me there's only one solution to a problem. Especially if they don't explain why.

NewJazz2y ago

He might explain why, but he decided to publish on twitter so I have no way of knowing.

gmuslera2y ago

Following Fermat steps till the end of the world.

Alifatisk2y ago

By looking at the stats, it looks like we've pretty much hit +1,5 degress celsius. Something we all feared, yet it's around the corner now.

Scary.

jfengel2y ago

We're hitting 1.5C on an intermittent basis. We hit it last year, and possibly this year, due to El Nino, but we'll probably drop below it next year.

Best estimates right now for being +1.5C every year are probably circa 2040. Though it could well be sooner, given how badly we're doing at preventing it.

breakyerself2y ago

The rate since 1982 is 0.2C per decade, but I would really like to see a chart with 10 year rolling average because it feels like it's going faster than that even before the El nino

gmuslera2y ago

bryanlarsen2y ago

But is it accelerating or just increasing at a constant rate? The second derivative of the graph looks like ~0 to me. We need to reduce the rate to 0 (or below) which means deceleration.

jaggs2y ago

Oh here we go again. Another Hacker News post for geo-engineering. Sigh. Such a waste of time. If doesn't fix any problem at all. It's just another vector for making money. Don't look up!

https://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/28/opinion/sunday/geoenginee...

andyjsongOP2y ago

There's only one thing we can do today to delay it before we burn, enough to solve the problem: SO2 injection

NewJazz2y ago

This is the only thing we can do?

netsharc2y ago

Nah, we can also debate about it some more as we cook to death...

Fucking democracy, the EU governments wanted to improve environmental protections and fucking farmers protested all over.

2 more replies

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse