Otis: Tropical storm to category 5 hurricane in 24h (opens in new tab)

(nhc.noaa.gov)

85 pointshelaoban2y ago22 comments

22 comments

21 comments · 11 top-level

19h2y ago· 4 in thread

I've been following the storm on Windy[1] for a few hours and it's really insane how massive it is..

[1] https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,18.937,...

I don't think massive is a good word for it. The supporting systems around it are not of the usual size for a storm of this intensity. It's easy to miss it on the wind map but then, all of a sudden, there are 75kt winds right around Acapulco.

https://www.windy.com/?17.049,-98.761,5

hnburnsy2y ago

IDK, Tammy look much worse at this time...https://www.windy.com/25.065/-60.732?22.166,-60.732,6

jfengel2y ago

I have not seen that site before. The flashes are lighting, I take it?

Nifty.

orwin2y ago

Their wind and storm predictions are really accurate, I use them every time I go on a mountain hike. I think windguru is still a bit better for sailing.

armatav2y ago· 2 in thread

Even though this is in Mexico, the beginning of this year has taught me to expect PG&E outages all across the Bay Area.

r00fus2y ago

My area dropped for 3 days due to a stiff breeze with 20mph gusts.

armatav2y ago

Amateur hour at PG&E for the past 10 years

1 more reply

darknavi2y ago· 2 in thread

I've never really paid too much attention to NOAA releases. Are they normally this impassioned?

> A nightmare scenario is unfolding for southern Mexico this evening with rapidly intensifying Otis approaching the coastline.

altairprime2y ago

Yes, they're often impassioned when they're deadly serious, emphasis on the deadly, about the impact of the weather. They generally write with more humanity than might be expected of any other service — but they also so often bear awful news that is so often summarily ignored, that I can't fault them for their impassioned pleas to 'please, pay attention to us, it will prevent your avoidable deaths'.

margalabargala2y ago

They can get pretty colorful. The 2005 hurricane season had some NOAA releases so interesting that xkcd did a comic on them https://xkcd.com/1126/

danielovichdk2y ago· 2 in thread

I dont see a 5 on any models at all.

itsanaccount2y ago

Aint that the issue. As the weather becomes more chaotic, the models become less useful. An observation that has caused me a lot of thoughts as we slide into our climate changes we've made this century.

Greetings from a warm and balmy late October in Michigan.

hnburnsy2y ago

Check this...https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/18E_intensity_late...

GaunterODimm2y ago

Most of 24h predictions showed Category 1 or below: https://twitter.com/burgwx/status/1716972676471021754

Quite a reminder about our forecasting capabilities.

scythe2y ago

Not mentioned is that this is the second time this year that a hurricane has undergone nearly record-breaking rapid intensification.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Lee_(2023)

defrost2y ago

Unsurprisingly more energy trapped in the land|sea layer than in years past leads to:

Hurricanes are now twice as likely to zip from minor to whopper than decades ago, study says

https://phys.org/news/2023-10-hurricanes-minor-whopper-decad...

    With warmer oceans serving as fuel, Atlantic hurricanes are now more than twice as likely as before to rapidly intensify from wimpy minor hurricanes to powerful and catastrophic, a study said Thursday.

Andra J. Garner, Observed increases in North Atlantic tropical cyclone peak intensification rates

Scientific Reports (2023).

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-42669-y.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-42669-y

pfdietz2y ago

Poor Acapulco.

boot132y ago

Yikes. https://www.ventusky.com/?p=14.8;-99.7;5&l=satellite&t=20231...

RetroTechie2y ago

Any HN users in the area? Plz. report? (if internet & power isn't down)

swader9992y ago

City of one million, this is bad.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse

22 comments

21 comments · 11 top-level

19h2y ago· 4 in thread

I've been following the storm on Windy[1] for a few hours and it's really insane how massive it is..

[1] https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,18.937,...

gardnr2y ago

https://www.windy.com/?17.049,-98.761,5

hnburnsy2y ago

IDK, Tammy look much worse at this time...https://www.windy.com/25.065/-60.732?22.166,-60.732,6

jfengel2y ago

I have not seen that site before. The flashes are lighting, I take it?

Nifty.

orwin2y ago

Their wind and storm predictions are really accurate, I use them every time I go on a mountain hike. I think windguru is still a bit better for sailing.

armatav2y ago· 2 in thread

Even though this is in Mexico, the beginning of this year has taught me to expect PG&E outages all across the Bay Area.

r00fus2y ago

My area dropped for 3 days due to a stiff breeze with 20mph gusts.

armatav2y ago

Amateur hour at PG&E for the past 10 years

1 more reply

darknavi2y ago· 2 in thread

I've never really paid too much attention to NOAA releases. Are they normally this impassioned?

> A nightmare scenario is unfolding for southern Mexico this evening with rapidly intensifying Otis approaching the coastline.

altairprime2y ago

margalabargala2y ago

They can get pretty colorful. The 2005 hurricane season had some NOAA releases so interesting that xkcd did a comic on them https://xkcd.com/1126/

danielovichdk2y ago· 2 in thread

I dont see a 5 on any models at all.

itsanaccount2y ago

Greetings from a warm and balmy late October in Michigan.

hnburnsy2y ago

Check this...https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/18E_intensity_late...

GaunterODimm2y ago

Most of 24h predictions showed Category 1 or below: https://twitter.com/burgwx/status/1716972676471021754

Quite a reminder about our forecasting capabilities.

scythe2y ago

Not mentioned is that this is the second time this year that a hurricane has undergone nearly record-breaking rapid intensification.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Lee_(2023)

defrost2y ago

Unsurprisingly more energy trapped in the land|sea layer than in years past leads to:

Hurricanes are now twice as likely to zip from minor to whopper than decades ago, study says

https://phys.org/news/2023-10-hurricanes-minor-whopper-decad...

    With warmer oceans serving as fuel, Atlantic hurricanes are now more than twice as likely as before to rapidly intensify from wimpy minor hurricanes to powerful and catastrophic, a study said Thursday.

Andra J. Garner, Observed increases in North Atlantic tropical cyclone peak intensification rates

Scientific Reports (2023).

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-42669-y.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-42669-y

pfdietz2y ago

Poor Acapulco.

boot132y ago

Yikes. https://www.ventusky.com/?p=14.8;-99.7;5&l=satellite&t=20231...

RetroTechie2y ago

Any HN users in the area? Plz. report? (if internet & power isn't down)

swader9992y ago

City of one million, this is bad.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse