> It will be a slow descent for reddit, but if you take the "rule" of social media that splits content creators/active participants/lurkers as 1/9/90%, and if we assume that a substantial amount of the 1% is moving away from reddit, then it stands to reason that the other 99% will end up following the creators.
In the domains of programming, suggesting that many of the 1% have moved away from Reddit, that is extremely optimistic... though that may be my visibility into fragmentation of communities across Lemmy.
https://lemmy.ml/c/java
https://programming.dev/c/java
From what I've seen, the content that has taken off on Lemmy tends to be the lower effort "ask Lemmy", memes, and similar.
Instances on beehaw tend to be more thriving, but this may also be a function of more active moderation... which is one of those things that people rail about being unfair and Stack Overflow over moderates (that's another thread).
The people who left Reddit appear to mostly be moderators who have gotten tired of moderating rather than people who are creating content / posts / commenting on Reddit.
https://programming.dev/c/cs_career_questions
290 subscribers, most recent question was 8 days ago.
https://www.reddit.com/r/cscareerquestions/
1M subscribers (yes, bots, inactive and all), 25th oldest question was 9 hours ago.
There was a surge a few weeks ago (especially as people hit private subs) - but it hasn't been sustained.
