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0 pointsP_I_Staker2y ago0 comments

People working in tech believed this. Hell, people directly working on the tech seemed to think this a few years ago, and are only now admitting reality.

Of course, one tends to be optimistic of these things when they work on them.

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rsynnott2y ago

I don't think anyone working on self-driving tech believed the breathless "next year" predictions. Or, at least, it's hard to understand how they could have. I'd buy that they believe that maybe someday there will be self-driving cars.

P_I_StakerOP2y ago

The predictions I was hearing weren't far off. We did know Elon was full of shit, but a lot of people thought we'd be further along by now.

5 years ago I was hearing 10-20 years. This was from people who were connected and knowledgeable in the industry. Now the same people are singing a different tune.

Maybe in 20 years from now, but it's looking pretty impossible in the next 5-10 years.

rsynnott2y ago

10-20 years as a prediction in tech, though, generally means "shrug who knows maybe never". Historically, predictions that far ahead are virtually useless.

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rsynnott2y ago

P_I_StakerOP2y ago

The predictions I was hearing weren't far off. We did know Elon was full of shit, but a lot of people thought we'd be further along by now.

5 years ago I was hearing 10-20 years. This was from people who were connected and knowledgeable in the industry. Now the same people are singing a different tune.

Maybe in 20 years from now, but it's looking pretty impossible in the next 5-10 years.

rsynnott2y ago

10-20 years as a prediction in tech, though, generally means "shrug who knows maybe never". Historically, predictions that far ahead are virtually useless.

1 more reply

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse