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0 pointsJW_000002y ago0 comments

Agreed. On my Twitter timeline lots of people are saying "the world will be completely different in 6-12 months' time". On October 17th, 1980, most accountants' work day still looked the same as a year before. It took decades for spreadsheets to get widespread adoption. I think LLMs are revolutionary, but the (r)evolution will take decades to materialize. Our work days will look completely different... in 2043.

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ignoramous2y ago

> I think LLMs are revolutionary, but the (r)evolution will take decades to materialize.

1980s was a different world. Today, the distribution that BigTech has, enabled by this thing called the Internet, changes the dynamic completely.

Given the investment, I believe LLMs will change some of the industries within 5 years, simply because it is a new but natural way to interact with Computers; and Google/Apple already put an Internet-connected Computer in everyone's hands.

This LLM hype is very real and is nothing like web3 (which lacked 10x utility over web2, imo).

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smt882y ago

I hate and am terrified of what LLMs will do to society, and I do think they're overhyped, but the revolution won't take years.

They can already fully replace human proofreaders and content marketers. They're very close to being able to replace graphic designers, voice actors, and commercial photographers. I expect we'll see many more unsexy jobs like those being replaced within 5 years.

bbor2y ago

Throwing out the hot take (for HN) that computer intuition is about to be a much stronger destabilizing force than spreadsheets were. And that’s really where change comes from, IMO - the status quo showing cracks

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