Compute cycles: CPU and GPU are very very different here, so I'm not sure that logic holds. Unless you're doing work that's heavily GPU-bound and truly using the same resource (which is a non-trivial amount of jobs, but far from a majority. maybe even less than 1%?).

For the rest, it shouldn't cost much more compute than two 4K screens, and people already do that successfully. It doesn't do much to increase the latency or cost of running a million Chrome tabs or using other CPU- or IO-bound programs.

But I will agree that this all consumes more electricity, which is certainly a problem for mobile use.

> No, we are nowhere near close to having a full-powered laptop in a form factor that could be worn on the face. I don't see any reasonable chance it will happen in the next 10 years, for example.

Um.

The Vision Pro runs an M2, the same processor they have in the best laptops Apple makes. I think it’s a huuuuge reach to just assume without having used the device, that it just must be visibly slow compared to running a modern laptop. Most of the pixel pushing is done on a GPU and is totally independent of what limits you to be able to run lots of apps. The M2 is already massively powerful for a typical laptop workload.

> You might be able to display 9 huge windows in the AR space, but you will probably not be able to run 9 different programs at the same time

What are you basing this on? You realize that iOS runs the same kernel as macOS, right? It has supported “multitasking” in the sense of “multiple processes” since day one. It’s just that iOS has intentionally limited the UI so that only one app is focused, and it eagerly kills (for the purposes of saving battery) apps that you’ve tabbed away from, with a lot of help from the software to make sure apps can persist their state and quickly recover. The limitations of multitasking on iOS is not due to there not being enough CPU, it’s to save battery. And Apple’s laptops use the same CPU, and have the best battery life in the industry, so I don’t see how you can arrive at the conclusion that a device with the same specs as their best laptops just obviously can’t multitask.

Thanks for the response! I still don't agree with your conclusion that the nascent proXR industry is doomed, but definitely cede the point that XR displays will be a strain on the computer they're hooked up to. I personally am more interested in software than hardware so can't say I've done a careful analysis of the required compute myself - trusting in the words of (biased) experts on that one.

re:the metaphor and your last paragraph, I think I was being unclear. I'm not saying that phones and laptops were wasting compute, I'm saying that they were both heavily criticized for not having enough compute. This is when they were introduced; obviously now its a simple money vs. portable compute tradeoff, which is my ultimate point - I see that same pattern holding in this case, too :)