In that case, there's nothing to gain from sharing and everything to lose. Even if they choose not to wipe out the rest of us, we are basically their pets, we can never reach the same level of development without posing an existential threat.
I'm not sure what nuclear deterrent looks like when you have AGI resources.
These optimistic ideas about AI improving our lives sound like hoping for the best.
Other people who have AGI resources. That's why it is very important to have multiple groups of people who will reach AGI at the same time. That way the same iterated prisoners dilemma thing will act on AGIs too.
There's no cooperation incentive between them just a potential stalemate.
Also the stalemate covers the people in control of AGIs (assuming they aren't acting independently) - the rest of us are just resources in breaking the stalemate game.
This sounds like the best way to build paperclip maximizer.
I found this on 4chan that fits how I feel, maybe too optimistic, but I'm also a pronoiac [1]
Al as the emancipator of mankind Anonymous (ID: 2aPu4eoe ) 04/01/23 No.421909126
Since the dawn of our existence, humans have fought against the elements and sought to overcome our physical limitations. Now that the solution is close at hand, are you excited?
With the advent of Al and super technology, we are on the brink of the next stage in human civilization, but this doesn't come without immediate social challenges, such as worker redundancy. To combat the problem, governments will impose restrictions on the technology, but this will only serve to slow down the change.
As human labor can increasingly be replaced by machines, the material burden of society will decrease, but also human usefulness. This will force people into increasingly specialized tasks, shrinking the number of people who are qualified to work and also the requirement on work force size. This will undoubtedly challenge the current economic system, and wealth redistribution will come into effect. The only alternative is human suffering.
As people are alleviated of work and have more free time, more time can be spent on recreational activities. However, humans also want meaning in their life, and something to solve, and the opportunity will arise to tackle new problems, such as righting social wrongs and in general coming into a more harmonious and peaceful coexistence with others. The political arena will open up, enabling more equal participation, which will lead to a decrease in corruption, elitism and to a more just society in general.
The transformation of the bottom line is what will ultimately transform the human condition, so I hope you are excited about Al. Don't listen to doomsayers who fear what this can mean for the status quo.
[1] Pronoia is the Antidote for Paranoia: How the Whole World is Conspiring to Shower You With Blessings by Rob Brezsny
This is just as hyperbolic and unrealistic as those who think that AI is going to kill all humans because it considers us an unacceptable risk.
There have been so many close calls and cases when we could've nuked each other to oblivion and yet by some miracle we're not only still here today, but for the most part it's had a positive impact with greater levels of peace and sovereignty compared to most of history. So maybe we have a tiny chance at a Star Trek utopia.
So both optimism and pessimism are supportable positions. As would be expected when we're faced with an unknown future.
I like the book "The Rational Optimist" by Matt Ridley
basically things have been getting better.
(personally I have my reservations about privacy, and "smart" devices)
> Sci-fi scenarios where a superhuman intelligence exterminates humanity (or worse) are fantastical and not deserving of serious consideration. Entertaining them risks losing the enormous benefits that AI could provide.
people are realizing that pandering to "what is reasonable" and discounting "sci-fi" scenarios matters little in a world that is approaching, if not in, sci-fi territory.
