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0 pointsnh23423fefe3y ago0 comments

Sure, have a different prior if you think those assumptions are relevant. i don't

    P(what if we're first?) ~ 0

    P(or FTL travel isn't possible in our universe?) ~ 1

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3 comments · 2 top-level

blibble3y ago· 1 in thread

what's your basis for these assumptions?

nh23423fefeOP3y ago

Uniform distribution of appearance of life over stars.

Special relativity.

pas3y ago

the Grabby Aliens argument is pretty good in establishing why it's likely that we're first-ish. are you familiar with that? or you think it's not convincing? (why?)

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