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nh23423fefe
2y ago
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Sure, have a different prior if you think those assumptions are relevant. i don't
P(what if we're first?) ~ 0 P(or FTL travel isn't possible in our universe?) ~ 1
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pas
2y ago
the Grabby Aliens argument is pretty good in establishing why it's likely that we're first-ish. are you familiar with that? or you think it's not convincing? (why?)
blibble
2y ago
what's your basis for these assumptions?
nh23423fefe
OP
2y ago
Uniform distribution of appearance of life over stars.
Special relativity.
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