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0 pointsonion2k2y ago0 comments

One possible way it could end badly would be if OpenAI ramped it's pricing up to the point where it takes away most of those company's chances of ever being profitable.

I'm not saying it's going to happen, and I hope it doesn't, but when I did a little analysis for an idea I have it was absolutely the biggest threat I could see. OpenAI has the ultimate vendor lock-in - there literally isn't an alternative right now.

(This is a giant opportunity if you're a billionaire investor. Providing an AI backend is probably the next cloud infrastructure. OpenAI is going to be the AWS of that industry, but there's room for an Azure or a GCP too.)

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Mizoguchi2y ago

There's really no point in worrying about OpenAI shutting down their API or pricing you out. It may happen but very unlikely that it will be suddenly and soon.

Yes, keep it in the back of your mind and design your systems in such way that when the time comes replacing the GPT doesn't require rewriting your entire codebase.

Your immediate #1 priority in such competitive market should be to execute your idea and get paying customers, then you deal with breaking off OpenAI.

whiplash4512y ago

OpenAI’s moat is not _that_ big in the grand scheme of things.

You can train GPT2 in a couple weeks on a dozen GPUs. Sure, it’s a lot worse than GPT4, but not insanely behind and the community is fast.

Same for RLHF. It is for sure fine engineering, but not unreachable for a motivated and competent bunch.

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