The future of integrated electronics is the future of electronics itself. The advantages of integration will bring about a proliferation of electronics, pushing this science into many new areas.
Integrated circuits will lead to such wonders as home computers—or at least terminals connected to a central computer—automatic controls for automobiles, and personal portable communications equipment. The electronic wristwatch needs only a display to be feasible today. But the biggest potential lies in the production of large systems. In telephone communications, integrated circuits in digital filters will separate channels on multiplex equipment. Integrated circuits will also switch telephone circuits and perform data processing.
Computers will be more powerful, and will be organized in completely different ways. For example, memories built of integrated electronics may be distributed throughout the machine instead of being concentrated in a central unit. In addition, the improved reliability made possible by integrated circuits will allow the construction of larger processing units. Machines similar to those in existence today will be built at lower costs and with faster turnaround."
Absolutely correct in every single prediction.
A bit of an overstatement[0], but it's certainly the vibe.
The news is happening so fast now, I'm not even sure without looking it up if the second room temperature superconductor was last week or not, let alone whose latest AI is passing which exams or producing images that normal people share as they mistake them for photographs.
[0] especially as I don't like the term itself: https://kitsunesoftware.wordpress.com/2022/09/20/not-a-singu...
To give another context to look at this in retrospective, here's [0] a die shot from a 2n3906 transistor made in 1965 (still available today). It's roughly 60µm * 60µm in size. By comparison a high end chip made in 2022 has 80 billion transistors in an area of 814mm^2 [1].
That is three hundred and fifty thousand transistors (350,000!) in the same area 58 years later.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2N3906#/media/File:2N3906_top_... [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hopper_(microarchitecture)
So when people say moores law is dead, it's often confusing as clearly things are still scaling (3nm crams significantly more transistors in than 7nm), but the cost per transistor has flattened, or possibly inverted a bit.
No, that part is still accurate. There's still a cost premium associated with really large, dense dies -- and it's one of the major reasons why you see some manufacturers using chiplets to circumvent that.
2. Yes, but it's hardware. The brow is low. (Hardware person here).
When you reach a certain stature, you're informally granted more liberty of expression in your paper titles.
