> How do you know agency is not simply the output of a large language model encoded in neurons?
I'm not sure what you mean here. Is agency an emergent effect of large digital or biological neural network? Maybe! Is it an emergent effect of a large language model? If it is, then it should be clear, or demonstrable, that the model (1) has goals (2) takes concrete steps to achieve those goals.
> What is the difference between neuronal and digital weights?
Brain chemistry works at orders of magnitude less speed, since we're talking about periodically building and releasing an ionic differential between the inside and outside of a cell wall. Moreover, we have a massive number of neurons and a stupidly massive amount of interneuronal connections, with billions of years of training over billions of lineages. Digital weights, in contrast, are a stripped down model of this system that throws out a whole class of complexities like hormones and metabolism.
> I think the safest assumption is that these models do indeed have agency, or at least the capability of agency.
I think this is an overly generous assumption.