We have evidence right here that patterns of moves leads to 1400. To me this is evidence that 1400 level play is very rigid and mostly relies on defined openings and strategies, making it easy for an LLM to find similar games and win using standard continuations.
Just like grammar the patterns are too hard for humans to see and encode, but LLMs can encode pretty complex patterns. Domains that are easy to encode as grammars will be really easy for LLMs to solve, and the further from a grammar the harder for it.