And funnily enough, with the AI community’s dedication to research publications being open access, it has all the content it needs to learn this capability.

“But how did skynet learn to build itself?”

“We showed it how.”

Since when was AP Calculus BC on the same order of magnitude as "design and implement a practical self-improving AI architecture"?

We can't predict what is coming. I think it probably ends up making the experience of being a human worse, but I can't avert my eyes. Some amazing stuff has and will continue to come from this direction of research.

I passed Calculus BC almost 20 years ago. All this time I could have been designing and implementing a practical self-improving AI architecture? I must really be slacking.

hey, im very concerned about AI and AGI and it is so refreshing to read your comments. over the years i have worried about and warned people about AI but there are astonishingly few people to be found that actually think something should be done or even that anything is wrong. i believe that humanity stands a very good chance of saving itself through very simple measures. i believe, and i hope that you believe, that even if the best chance we had at saving ourselves was 1%, we should go ahead and at least try. in light of all this, i would very much like to stay in contact with you. ive connected with one other HN user so far (jjlustig) and i hope to connect with more so that together we can effect political change around this important issue. ive formed a twitter account to do this, @stop_AGI. whether or not you choose to connect, please do reach out to your state and national legislators (if in the US) and convey your concern about AI. it will more valuable than you know.

That's a pretty unfair comparison. We know the answers to the problems in AP Calculus BC, whereas we don't even yet know whether answers are possible for a self-improving AI, let alone what they are.

> Endless glib comments in this thread.

Either the comments are glib and preposterous or they are reasonable and enlightening. I guess they are neither but our narrow mindedness makes it so?

A few hundred people on Metaculus are predicting weakly general AI to be first known around September 2027: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general...

> Yeah, I know about LLAMA, but as I understand - it's not exactly legal to use and share it.

For anyone keeping track, this is when you update your cyberpunk dystopia checklist to mark off "hackers are running illegal AIs to compete with corporations".

Dear AI gods, all I want for this Christmas is this.

Singularity no /s

Somewhere in the range of 6 months ~ 6 years

Where singularity = something advanced enough comes along that we can't understand or predict or keep up with it, because it's so far beyond us and changing so far faster than our ape brains can perceive, and (hopefully) it brings us along for the ride.

No promises it'll be evenly distributed though.

That would be my response but without the /s. Of course, depending on the definition it can always be said to be "happening", but to me it feels like the angle of the curve is finally over 45 degrees.