And of course people in 'important' roles who've been laid off are going to say the company is doomed, these are the probably the worst source to go off. They're not going to say "oh yeah I didn't do much at all really, just bossed people around and spent my budget every year."
It's like a mass psychosis of some kind. It comes off as a kind of desperation, as though they need Elon to fail.
Why? What's driving that response?
So it wasn't unreasonable to think that Twitter would begin experiencing problems.
I didn't think that Twitter was going to literally have an unrecoverable system crash and permanently shut its doors, but I thought we'd see some outages or partial breakage over time, which is basically what has happened albeit in an admirably mild way.
It comes off as a kind of desperation, as
though they need Elon to fail.
You don't need to pathologize it, like it's some... deep weirdo psychological yearning. Some people think he's a jerk and wouldn't mind seeing him fall on his face!If a person was staking some significant part of their emotions on their feelings for Musk, yeah, that'd be unhealthy.
But I think you are significantly overestimating the emotional weight behind 99.99% of the half-baked Twitter quick takes. It's okay to not like a guy!
Was that a real thing those people were saying?
Genuinely asking, as I don't follow any of the former Twitter engineers on, well, Twitter, and if there were any such posts/articles on here I must have missed them.
The only prediction anyone made was that the World Cup was historically a period of very high load, so if something was going to go wrong soon, the weekend would be the first vulnerable time, and the World Cup finals will be the next.
Experience.
Many of us have worked at companies where there is a lot of duct tape holding things together and when you let go of entire teams (not just a large percentage) then it isn't unreasonable to be pessimistic. Especially when you know that in order to fix problem A you need to take B, D, E, C corrective actions in that order. And you learnt that through years of things going wrong.
More so at companies like Twitter where they never really reach a steady state. You constantly have large fluctuations in system stress e.g. World Cup, Trump rejoining etc.
My experience is both exist at the same time because the leadership teams don't actually know what core business is or are busy building empires and resumes.
If in six months (or suitable time period) we see stagnation in releases and technical issues increasing we'll have some data to infer from.